Thursday, August 7, 2014

More than just Financial Poverty...

Despite the significant strides in the fight against poverty[1], (particularly in the last three decades), what is predominantly a man-made scourge continues to pose a formidable challenge for governments of both rich and developing nations across the globe. Efforts to eradicate or even substantially reduce the level of poverty have had limited success[2].

Poverty is apparently far less the result of geography, natural resources or culture, and has more to do with the degree to which such values as democracy, transparency, property rights and the rule of law are embraced. “Inclusive” political systems that encourage a broader participation in not only the economic betterment, but, more critically, in the sharing of the “fruits of that labor” tend to be far more innovative than those that are not. These innovations are, in turn, conducive to productivity, the end result of which is higher living standards.

There are also other, more subtle perpetuating contributors to poverty. The authors of a recent landmark study[3] point out that our understanding of poverty is too simplistic and generally flawed. The poor are basically defined as those that fall below a certain income threshold and that’s where it stops. The authors offer a far broader perspective, introducing concepts of “time poverty” and “bandwidth poverty” to complement the more familiar “financial poverty” measure.

Time poverty treats the availability of time as a resource, and, just as with a financial resource, describes the effects that a limitation of this resource can engender. The poor are far more likely to suffer from the negative effects of “time poverty”, as they are forced to allocate a disproportionate amount of their disposable time to cope with the myriad challenges they face in the present[4]. By having to spend more time in dealing with them, they postpone less urgent (but nevertheless important) tasks, which then accumulate in a similar manner that debt does when households borrow more than they can afford.

“Bandwidth poverty”, on the other hand, describes the resulting “cognitive exhaustion” that both financial and time poverties cause. The resulting burden and stress of attempting to “make ends meet” and the pressure of accumulating financial deadlines is such that the person is left mentally exhausted at the end of the day. As such, they are less likely to stay focused, think clearly and work on bettering their conditions.

The authors suggest that governments need to design programs that specifically target the time and bandwidth aspects of poverty. These may include such basic changes as simplifying registration forms to receive help or training (some of which may appear intimidating to the applicant due to their shear complexity). Diminishing the corrosive effects of both time and bandwidth may improve their lot.

Last but not least are the effects of the so called “digital revolution” sweeping across the globe: Recent studies[5] highlight a darker side of the rapid digitization of economies mainly in the form of a widening of the inequality gap. Part of this trend seems to be the result of a secular shift in the capital to labor mix.

As these increasingly pervasive digital technologies become more powerful and sophisticated, they are able to carry out tasks that require increasingly advanced cognitive skills to accomplish. These are skills, such as complex coordination and pattern recognition that were, until recently, in the exclusive domain of humans[6]. The displaced workers are left with two alternatives:  Either acquire new skills or compete for lower skilled/paid jobs.  

The first option requires broad policy changes which means rethinking education and providing the unemployed with proper training and incentives to adapt. The latter option will just drag lower skilled wages even lower, as better educated persons compete for the same jobs.  

Poverty is a complex matter, involving both monetary and psychological roots and necessitating a multipronged approach to combat. Recalibrating policies to this end may finally remove the shackles that have been an immense burden for both the sufferers and the economy. 



[1] According to Wikipedia, poverty is general scarcity or dearth, or the state of one who lacks a certain amount of material possessions or money. Absolute poverty or destitution refers to the deprivation of basic human needs, which commonly includes food, water, sanitation, clothing, shelter, health care and education. Relative poverty is defined contextually as economic inequality in the location or society in which people live.
[2] Just as with the natural rate of unemployment, there may in fact be a natural rate of poverty. In other words, it may be impossible to eradicate poverty entirely and government should instead focus policy on bringing poverty to its minimal or natural rate. This newsletter focuses on the poverty rate that is above the “natural” rate.
[3] Scarcity: Why Having Too Little Means So Much (2013, Sendhil Mullainthan and Eldar Shafir).
[4] Take the example of this newsletter. I have a deadline to submit it but I can always ask for an extension, and will most likely be granted one. That may be a relief, but it also means that I will be postponing other tasks that I would have normally accomplished had I not run behind schedule. So, just as with the effects of debt accumulation, extending a deadline may lead to a growing backlog of things to do. 
[5] The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies. (2014, Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee).
[6] Pattern recognition and advanced communications are examples of skills that have remained exclusive to humans but this seems to be changing rapidly. Google’s autonomous car project, which aims to relegate the task of driving to computers, or Foxconn’s decision to replace thousands of humans with robots for factory assembly lines are examples of this change.